PREDICT.WALES
Prediction Markets & Collective Forecasting for Wales

What happens next in Wales?

Explore what people think will happen next across Welsh politics, sport, the economy and current affairs. Turn collective expectations into measurable probabilities.

Explore PredictionsHow it works

Forecasting only. No stakes, no money, no wagers — probabilities shown are demonstration data.

Live sample forecastDemo

Who will win the next Senedd election?

2,417 predictions — pick an outcome to add yours.

Featured

What is Wales predicting?

Explore questions about the events shaping Wales.

Browse all predictions
PoliticsOpen

Who will win the next Senedd election?

38%
Plaid Cymru

Make your prediction — pick an outcome to move the probability.

2,417 predictionsCloses 7 May 2026
Trending

Moving fastest right now

All probabilities, prediction counts and charts on this page are sample data shown for demonstration while Predict Wales is in development.

Categories

Predict what matters to Wales

Politics

Senedd elections, Welsh Government, political leadership and public policy.

Sport

Football, rugby and major Welsh sporting events.

Economy

Business, employment, investment and the Welsh economy.

Current Affairs

The questions, events and developments shaping Wales.

How it works

Forecast the future. See what the crowd thinks.

  1. 01

    Choose a question

    Explore predictions about politics, sport, economics and current affairs.

  2. 02

    Make your prediction

    Choose the outcome you believe is most likely.

  3. 03

    Watch probabilities change

    See how collective expectations evolve as new information appears.

Prediction markets and collective forecasting aggregate many individual expectations into a probability signal that can change as new information becomes available.

One question.
Thousands of opinions.
One probability.

Predict Wales explores how collective intelligence can help us understand uncertainty.

Instead of asking only what people want to happen, forecasting asks a different question:

Not this

What do you want to happen?

This

What do you think will happen?

Crowd forecast

Wales qualifies for Euro 2028

64%
Yes
36%
No
Predictions
1,284
30-day change
+6 pts
Probability historyDemonstration data
JanMarMayJulSep

Chart values are generated for demonstration purposes and do not represent real forecasts or outcomes.

About

A forecasting platform built for Wales

Predict Wales asks simple questions about what happens next in Welsh politics, sport, the economy and current affairs — then lets anyone answer them. As predictions come in, each question settles on a probability that reflects what the crowd genuinely expects.

We are early. Today the platform runs on sample questions and community predictions collected in your browser, so you can see exactly how it works before the full version launches.

Your predictions
0
Questions answered
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  • Wales first

    Every question is about Wales — the Senedd, our clubs, our economy and the events people here actually talk about.

  • Probabilities, not opinions

    Each prediction you submit updates the community probability, turning scattered expectations into a single readable number.

  • No money, no wagers

    Predict Wales is a forecasting platform. Nothing is staked and nothing is bet — the only currency is being right.

  • Open to everyone

    No account needed to take part. Pick an outcome on any question and your view is counted straight away.

Early access

Be part of Predict Wales

Predict Wales is currently in development. Join the early access list to hear when new predictions, features and forecasting tools become available.